Escalation Point: Pathways To Catastrophe Or De-escalation In The Middle East (The Mediterranean Notebooks)

The Middle East stands at a critical juncture, with Iran's nuclear programme and the prospect of Israeli pre-emptive action threatening global stability. "Escalation Point" delivers a meticulously researched analysis of this volatile situation, presenting three plausible scenarios that could reshape the region.
Moving beyond sensationalism, this examination explores how personal political motivations might trigger wider conflict. With Israel's extremist government facing international condemnation and a Prime Minister seeking self-preservation, the book confronts uncomfortable truths about desperate leadership and regional consequences.
The narrative critically assesses Gulf states' security strategies, questioning whether trillions invested in alliances—particularly with the Trump administration—and the Abraham Accords can truly protect against Iran-Israel confrontation. Drawing parallels with America's Afghanistan withdrawal, the book challenges assumptions about external protection when facing a formidable Islamic power like Iran.
"Escalation Point" examines America's uncertain role under the "America First" doctrine, questioning Washington's capacity for constructive de-escalation given past negotiations with adversaries like the Taliban. Could similar scenarios unfold with devastating consequences for American prestige?
Through three detailed scenarios—devastating regional war, limited escalation with containment, and fraught diplomatic resolution—the book reveals immense human, economic, and geopolitical costs. It argues that Netanyahu's potential war with Iran would exact an unbearable price from the entire region, including Israel, with catastrophic global economic repercussions.
This vital, timely analysis offers readers an unsentimental examination of Middle Eastern power dynamics, providing essential insight into the intricate dance of ambition, consequence, and geopolitical strategy that could determine our collective future.