Principy izmeneniya mirovogo poryadka. Pochemu odni nacii pobezhdayut, a drugie terpyat porazhenie

Odin iz samyh vliyatel'nyh i bogatyh lyudey planety Rey Dalio issleduet imperii proshlogo, vyyavlyaet zakonomernosti vzletov i padeniy vedushchih mirovyh ekonomik, delaet vyvody otnositel'no nashego nastoyashchego i budushchego i daet otvet na vopros, pochemu gryadushchie vremena budut radikal'no otlichat'sya ot tekh, kotorye my perezhili. Neskol'ko let nazad Rey Dalio obratil vnimanie na politicheskie i ekonomicheskie usloviya, s kotorymi ran'she ne stalkivalsya. Eto ogromnye dolgi i nulevye ili pochti nulevye procentnye stavki, kotorye priveli k massovomu pechataniyu deneg v trekh osnovnyh rezervnyh valyutah mira; krupnye politicheskie i social'nye konflikty vnutri stran, osobenno v SSHA; i rost mirovoy derzhavy (Kitay), gotovoy brosit' vyzov sushchestvuyushchey mirovoy derzhave (SSHA) i sushchestvuyushchemu mirovomu poryadku. V posledniy raz podobnoe proiskhodilo mezhdu 1930 i 1945 godami. Eto osoznanie podtolknulo Dalio k poisku povtoryayushchihsya zakonomernostey i prichinno-sledstvennyh svyazey, lezhashchih v osnove vsekh osnovnyh izmeneniy v rasklade makroekonomicheskih sil za poslednie 500 let. Rey Dalio priglashaet svoih chitateley izuchit' osnovnye mirovye ekonomiki, vklyuchaya gollandskuyu, britanskuyu i amerikanskuyu, i rassmotret' «Bol'shoy cikl», kotoryy opredelyaet uspekhi i neudachi vsekh krupneyshih stran mira na protyazhenii vsey istorii. On raskryvaet vnevremennye i universal'nye sily, stoyashchie za etimi sdvigami, i ispol'zuet ih, chtoby zaglyanut' v budushchee i sformulirovat' principy dlya togo, chto vperedi.

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