A Roadmap for the Comprehensive Assessment of Natech Risk

A Roadmap for the Comprehensive Assessment of Natech Risk: Management and Control of Technological Accidents Triggered by Natural Hazards in the Framework of Climate Change covers the latest advancements concerning the quantitative risk assessment and the management of cascading events involving technological accidents caused by natural hazards. The topic is meticulously covered, providing a description of past accidents, case-studies, and quantitative figures that allow for the identification of the most vulnerable plant elements, of the complex features of accident scenarios, and of their rising trend that is possibly related to factors as climate change and growing industrialization. Methodologies aiming at the assessment of the actual performance of safety barriers and safety systems during or immediately after the impact of a natural event are also presented. Recent tools and data supporting the quantitative assessment of these features in the overall assessment of Natech risk are reported, highlighting the similarities with other typologies of cascading accidents. Several case studies are presented in the book, and each methodology presented is provided with an illustrative case-study providing guidance to its application.

Alessio Misuri received his Ph.D. in Structural and Environmental Health Monitoring and Management from the University of Bologna (Italy) in 2022, working on the development of comprehensive risk assessment approaches to assess complex cascading accidents triggered by natural hazards, at the Department of Civil, Chemical, Environmental and Materials Engineering. During his Ph.D. he was hosted as visiting researcher by the Disaster Prevention Research Institute (DPRI) of Kyoto University.

1. Introduction 2. Features of Natech accidents in the framework of climate change 3. State of the art in the quantitative risk assessment of Natech accidents 4. Escalation of Natech accidents: methodologies for the identification and assessment of cascading sequences and domino effects 5. A holistic approach to support quantitative Natech risk assessment and management 6. Assessment of the performance of safety barriers during Natech accidents 7. Methodologies for the quantitative risk assessment of Natech accidents considering the degradation of safety barriers 8. Roadmap and tools for the prevention of Natech accidents under climate change 9. Conclusions and future directions 10. Glossary