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Speculative Bubbles and Monetary Policy works at the intersection of economic theory history. While the consistent and penetrating perspective of theory is necessary for interpreting economic history, existing macroeconomic theories are fragile an ineffective at narrating an economic history that covers a relatively long period. Such fragility comes from arbitrariness in deployed economic theory as well as structural changes within an economy. This book presents a Keynesian theory with a rigorous dynamic microeconomic foundation that entirely differs from new Keynesian theory and applies it to the Japanese economic history from the 1980s to 2010s. It considers two primary incidents in the country's economic history: the bubble boom from the late 1980s to the early 1990s, and the country's immersion in neoliberalism at the turn of the century.
Masayuki Otaki (1957-2018) was professor of economics at the University of Tokyo. He completed this book shortly before passing.
List of Figures
Acknowledgements
Introduction
Part 1. Historical Narrative
Chapter 1. A Concise Economic History of Japan: Prosperity and Crisis
Part 2. Theory
Chapter 2. A Conundrum in Monetary Economics: Does Keynes Abandon the Second Postulate of the Classical School?
Chapter 3. Origin of Speculative Bubbles and their Aftermath
Chapter 4. Labor Productivity Stagnation, the Radical Quantitative Easing Monetary Policy, and Disinflation
Chapter 5. An Equilibrium Selection Procedure Based on Ramsey's Probability Theory
Appendixes
Index
About the Author